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← Insights overviewGAME INSIGHTS

Every game.
A deeper understanding.

Win percentages. Team form. Markets. Player performance. Match reviews. Get the full picture, before and after the game.

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MELBOURNE VS SYDNEY · NRLExample data
Melbourne StormMelbourne
VS
Sydney RoostersSydney
Likely win percentagePre-game
62%38%
Matchup. Form. Markets. Result.
01 / 05A PROBABILITY, WITH CONTEXT

See the matchup through Likely’s lens.

Compare each team’s algorithm-based chance of winning. Add another perspective to your research before the game begins.

LIKELY WIN PERCENTAGESIllustrative data
A different view of the matchup.
Melbourne StormMelbourneSydney RoostersSydney
62%38%

Calculated by Likely’s algorithm. Pre-game estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Your opinion gets another reference point.

Both outcomes

Compare each team’s estimated chance of winning.

Pre-game estimate

Read probability alongside form—not as a guarantee.

02 / 05BEFORE THE GAME

Compare both teams’ results.

See both teams’ results together. Understand the run they’re bringing into the matchup without jumping between profiles.

NRL · MATCH CENTREIllustrative matchup
MelbourneLAST FIVE · OLDEST → LATEST
WWLWW
UPCOMINGVS
SydneyLAST FIVE · OLDEST → LATEST
LWWLW
SEASON WIN RATEOVERALL · 2026
Melbourne72%
Sydney56%
Melbourne13W – 5L18 games playedSydney10W – 8L18 games played

Explore the history. Compare form across markets.

15+ years of team form

Explore historical team performance across seasons, alongside recent results.

Form across betting markets

Compare team performance across multiple betting markets, with Overall, Home and Away views.

03 / 05PLAYER PERFORMANCE

See who could shape the game.

Explore individual performance histories and compare recent output with season form. Bring player context into the matchup and its markets.

NRL · PLAYER FORMIllustrative season
Xavier CoatesMelbourne Storm
MELBOURNE STORMXavier CoatesWinger Tries per game
TRIES SCOREDSeason form
AVERAGE1.17 tries / game
Game 1Game 6Game 12
12 appearances · 14 tries · 1.17 per game
Over 0.5 · WinUnder 0.5 · Loss0.5 tries line
OVER 0.5 TRIES9 / 12 wins
HIT RATE75%
NET UNIT RETURN+6.00u

Illustrative results · 1u per game at fixed 2.00 decimal odds · 12u staked, 18u returned · +6u net profit

The individual story behind the team.

Performance over time

Follow output across appearances instead of relying on one result.

Market context

Connect player performance with the relevant game markets.

04 / 05FROM RESEARCH TO PRICE

Your research. Connected to the markets.

Explore match odds, team markets and player markets from the game page.

ODDS COMPARISONSimulated prices & EV
MELBOURNE STORM VS SYDNEY ROOSTERS · NRL
Melbourne Storm
Melbourne · Match winnerSame selection · bookmaker prices
Simulated updates
Win probability 62%Model implied odds 1.61
BOOKMAKERPRICEVALUE / EV
SportsbetSportsbet1.75+8.5%
Bet365Bet3651.80+11.6%
BetfairBetfair1.85+14.7%
TABTAB1.78+10.4%
LadbrokesLadbrokes1.82+12.8%
Higher price = higher winning payout. Teal highlights the best available price.
BEST PRICE NOW1.85 · Betfair
AVERAGE ODDS1.804
VARIANCE VS AVERAGE+2.5%
BEST-PRICE EV+14.7%
1u WINNING PROFIT+0.85u

Prices move → bookmaker variance and expected value update.

↑ Price rose   ↓ Price fellPrice update 1 / 5
Simulated data · EV = (price ÷ model implied odds − 1) × 100. Variance = (best price ÷ average bookmaker odds − 1) × 100. Average uses the displayed bookmakers; calculations use unrounded values. Positive EV does not guarantee a return. Winning profit excludes the 1u stake; exchange commission excluded.

Bring the sporting picture into the market.

Same selection

Compare prices across bookmakers in one view.

Value context

See how price compares with Likely’s estimate.

05 / 05AFTER THE FINAL WHISTLE

The final score is only the start.

Return after the game for the match review and stats. Understand the result and the performances behind it.

NRL · MATCH REVIEWIllustrative match
Melbourne StormMelbourneStorm
FINAL24 – 16Melbourne wins by 8
Sydney RoostersSydneyRoosters
Scoring breakdownHalf by half · 80 minutes
TEAM1H2HFT
MEL121224
SYD61016
First half0–40 MIN
MEL12–SYD6

Melbourne +6

Second half40–80 MIN
MEL12–SYD10

Melbourne +2

Half-time · Melbourne leads 12–6.

The game finishes. The context stays.

Final result

See how the matchup finished.

Game summary

Explore the completed-game review and stats.

SEE IT FOR YOURSELF

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All graphics use illustrative data. Insights and probability estimates do not guarantee outcomes.